COVID 19's impact on crude oil and natural gas S&P GS Indexes
Identifieur interne : 000011 ( France/Analysis ); précédent : 000010; suivant : 000012COVID 19's impact on crude oil and natural gas S&P GS Indexes
Auteurs : Donia Aloui ; Stéphane Goutte [France] ; Khaled Guesmi [France] ; Rafla HchaichiSource :
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Abstract
On 12 March 2020, the sharp fell of U.S. crude oil price to 30 dollars was explained by the outspreads of coronavirus pandemic and the OPEC's inability to reach a production quota agreement. We employ the structural VAR model with time-varying coefficients and stochastic volatility (TVP-SVAR model) developed by Primiceri (2005) to asses the impact of COVID-19 shocks on the energy futures markets, particularly on crude oil and natural gas S&P GS Indexes. The findings confirm that energy commodities S&P GS Indexes respond to COVID-19 shock that varying over time due to fundamentals factors as well as behavioral and psychological factors.
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Hal:halshs-02613280Le document en format XML
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"> <p>On 12 March 2020, the sharp fell of U.S. crude oil price to 30 dollars was explained by the outspreads of coronavirus pandemic and the OPEC's inability to reach a production quota agreement. We employ the structural VAR model with time-varying coefficients and stochastic volatility (TVP-SVAR model) developed by Primiceri (2005) to asses the impact of COVID-19 shocks on the energy futures markets, particularly on crude oil and natural gas S&P GS Indexes. The findings confirm that energy commodities S&P GS Indexes respond to COVID-19 shock that varying over time due to fundamentals factors as well as behavioral and psychological factors.</p>
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